Prediction markets centred on golf majors draw together a diverse participant base: dedicated golf analysts, mathematicians employing strokes-gained modelling, and institutional traders who view golf majors as liquid, transparent events with unambiguous outcomes and rich historical records.
2026 Golf Major Calendar
- The Masters (April): Augusta National — RESOLVED (check PolyGram for next year)
- US Open (June): Shinnecock Hills — Upcoming
- The Open Championship (July): Royal Troon — Upcoming
- PGA Championship (August): Quail Hollow — Upcoming
US Open 2026 Winner Odds
Live PolyGram pricing as of May 2026:
- Scottie Scheffler: ~20-25% — Top-ranked globally, commanding form throughout 2025-26
- Xander Schauffele: ~12-15% — Major championship victor, reliable performer
- Rory McIlroy: ~10-13% — Seeking US Open success, excellent mid-iron execution
- Collin Morikawa: ~8-11% — Exceptional ball-striking aligns with US Open demands
- Viktor Hovland: ~6-9% — Proficient with extended irons
Golf Major Trading Edge
Informed traders can identify several potential advantages when assessing prediction markets on golf majors:
- Venue-specific patterns: Particular competitors demonstrate consistent outperformance or underperformance at certain courses
- Strokes gained metrics: SG data shows robust correlation with major championship results — compare approach-shot rankings across similar course profiles
- Seasonal conditions: Draw positioning in major tournaments creates varying conditions that favour or disadvantage certain player profiles
- Recency bias: Market pricing occasionally emphasises short-term results whilst undervaluing sustained major championship track records
FAQ
- When do golf major prediction markets resolve?
- Resolution occurs Sunday night following the closing round, typically within 24 hours of the winner being officially declared via PGA Tour and R&A records.
- Can I trade in-round during golf majors?
- PolyGram refreshes markets continuously throughout major championship rounds. Winner odds adjust dynamically as competitors move up and down the leaderboard across all 72 holes.
- Are there cut-making markets for golf majors?
- Yes — PolyGram offers individual player cut/miss contracts for major championships, enabling granular trading on whether each participant advances past the halfway point.