What price will Bitcoin hit on June 13?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Bitcoin's price on 13 June 2026 will either reach a specific threshold (YES) or remain below it (NO). In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the event occurs; a NO share pays out if it doesn't. Here, the crowd has priced the YES outcome at just 1%, meaning traders believe the target price is either extremely high or the market views such precision over an 18-month window as unlikely. The settlement window closes on 14 June 2026, giving traders a narrow window to verify the actual spot price on that date.

Bitcoin's price volatility makes single-day targets notoriously difficult to forecast. Historical precedent shows that even modest price thresholds set months in advance rarely attract confidence above 5–10% unless they're anchored to round numbers or technical support levels. The 1% probability here suggests either the threshold is substantially above current trajectories or the market is pricing in the inherent noise of daily price movements. Bitcoin has moved between roughly $16,000 and $69,000 over the past five years, but predicting a precise level on a given date remains a low-probability event.

Traders monitoring this market should track macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve policy signals, and institutional adoption developments in the months preceding June 2026. Regulatory clarity—particularly from the UK Financial Conduct Authority or US Securities and Exchange Commission—can shift Bitcoin's price trajectory significantly. Spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds, now available in multiple jurisdictions, have reduced volatility in some periods but remain sensitive to broader risk sentiment.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.