What price will Bitcoin hit on June 23?

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Active sub-markets

Market context

On 23 June 2026, the real-world event determining this market is the exact price of Bitcoin at midnight EDT. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the price meets the stated condition, while a NO share pays if it does not; here, the crowd-implied probability of a YES outcome is 0%, suggesting traders believe the price will fall below the threshold. This specific market closes on 24 June 2026 at 04:00 UTC, locking in the settlement price for that date.

Historical patterns and current technical models frame this near-zero probability. CoinLore’s forecast for 23 June 2026 projects a price of $65,136, with a 24-hour range of $61,945 to $65,798, while Changelly suggests June 2026 could see values up to $68,510 but not drop below $62,598 [1][2]. Despite these moderate bullish forecasts, technical indicators show a strong bearish signal on the daily chart, with Bitcoin trading below the 200-day exponential moving average and only 0 out of 5 key EMAs supporting the price [1]. The Fear & Greed Index sits at 20, indicating extreme fear, which often suppresses upward momentum in the short term [2].

Traders should monitor institutional ETF flows and macroeconomic data releases, as these are primary catalysts for price swings. Yahoo Finance reports that institutions closed May with the largest monthly ETF outflow of 2026, a trend that could continue to weigh on prices [8]. Additionally, ChatGPT’s constructive thesis targets $88,000 to $95,000 by end-June, but this relies entirely on institutional flows absorbing selling pressure [3]. A daily close below $70,000 remains a critical level to watch, as it could trigger further downside before the settlement window ends [3].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.