Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
Market context
On 24 June 2026, the real-world event determining this market is the exact price Ethereum trades at in US dollars at the close of that day. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the price reaches the specified level, while a NO share pays out if it does not; here, the crowd-implied probability of hitting the target is 0%, suggesting traders see no chance of that outcome. This market settles when the trading window ends at 04:00 UTC on 25 June 2026, locking in the final price for resolution.
Historically, Ethereum has oscillated between roughly $1,500 and its all-time high of $4,946, with recent data showing it trading near $1,670 on 24 June, down about 3% in the last 24 hours[1][3]. Comparable cases from May 2026 show prices hovering near $2,100, indicating a recent downward trend that aligns with the current 0% probability for higher targets[8][9]. The 18% probability assigned to a $1,500 price point on similar platforms suggests traders expect a floor near current levels rather than a breakout[5].
Traders should monitor Ethereum ETF net flows, which saw roughly $82 million in outflows on 23 June, and watch for any announcements from major corporate holders like BitMine, which is reportedly boosting accumulation[4]. The ETH/BTC ratio recently ended a 1,380-day downturn, crossing 0.04, a technical shift that could influence short-term price direction[4]. Additionally, daily flows for Ethereum now match Bitcoin at around $900 million, reflecting growing institutional interest that may stabilise prices near current levels rather than drive them higher[4].
Methodology
This page reviews What price will Ethereum hit on June 24? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade What price will Ethereum hit on June 24? on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Prediction Market UK →