What price will Ethereum hit on June 13?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

On 13 June 2026, Ethereum's price will either reach a specific threshold or it won't. In prediction markets, traders buy YES shares if they believe the event will occur, or NO shares if they don't. Each share settles at £1 if correct and £0 if wrong. Here, the crowd is currently pricing the probability at 0%, meaning traders collectively assess it as effectively impossible that Ethereum will hit the target price on that exact date. This settlement window closes on 14 June 2026, giving traders roughly two years to assess whether conditions favour that outcome.

Ethereum's historical volatility offers context for reading such extreme probabilities. Between 2017 and 2021, the asset moved from under $1 to over $4,000, then retreated and recovered multiple times. Single-day price swings of 10–20% occur regularly during periods of elevated trading activity or network upgrades. A 0% crowd probability typically reflects either an extremely high price target relative to current levels, or a target so low it sits below Ethereum's floor price expectations. Without knowing the specific threshold, traders should note that Ethereum's price discovery depends on macroeconomic conditions, regulatory announcements, and technical developments in blockchain infrastructure.

Key catalysts through mid-2026 include potential Ethereum protocol upgrades, regulatory clarity from the Financial Conduct Authority and EU authorities on crypto asset frameworks, and broader cryptocurrency market sentiment tied to Bitcoin's trajectory. Staking yield changes and competition from alternative layer-one blockchains also influence Ethereum's valuation. Traders monitoring this market should track Ethereum Foundation announcements and major institutional adoption news as leading indicators.

Methodology

We track What price will Ethereum hit on June 13? on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.