Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map Handicap: BST.A (-1.5) vs Red Feet (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA Academy (-3.5) vs Red Feet (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA Academy (-3.5) vs Red Feet (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA Academy (-6.5) vs Red Feet (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA Academy (-9.5) vs Red Feet (+9.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA Academy (-3.5) vs Red Feet (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA Academy (-6.5) vs Red Feet (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA Academy (-9.5) vs Red Feet (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
Market context
BESTIA Academy’s BO3 against Red Feet in the CCT South America Series 4 group stage is the underlying event here, and a **YES** share means BESTIA Academy win the match while a **NO** share means Red Feet win. In this market, traders are not pricing the map score or the stage outcome separately; they are pricing the match winner only, with a fallback to 50-50 if the fixture is not completed as specified. [6]
The 100% YES crowd view is best read against the pre-match and completed-match signals available for the same fixture. Bookmakers and match preview sites had BESTIA Academy as the shorter price, with one listing them around 1.34 and Red Feet around 1.68, while another gave BESTIA Academy a roughly 69% user-implied chance before play; the result page later recorded BESTIA Academy winning 2-0, which is consistent with the market settling towards YES after the fact. [1][9][10]
For a trader, the main catalysts are simple: whether the match actually starts, whether all maps are completed, and whether any late schedule change, walkover, or technical issue alters the settlement path. The tournament context also matters because this was a Swiss round 5 meeting between teams on a 2-2 record, where a win advances and a loss eliminates, so motivation was high but the settlement still depends on the official match result rather than standings. A final check on official tournament scheduling or live-score coverage is the key dependency if there is any delay or interruption. [2][8][3]
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Red Feet (BO3) - C… on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →