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Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 100% Map Handicap: Atreides (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 100% Volume: $131K Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map Handicap: Atreides (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 39.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Atreides (-3.5) vs GenOne (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs Atreides (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-3.5) vs Atreides (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Atreides (-3.5) vs GenOne (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Atreides (-6.5) vs GenOne (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-3.5) vs Atreides (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 45.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-6.5) vs Atreides (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

A Counter-Strike best-of-three match between GenOne and Atreides will take place on 24 July as part of the NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage. In prediction-market terms, a YES share represents a bet on GenOne winning the fixture, whilst a NO share represents a bet on Atreides prevailing. The current crowd-implied probability of 0% YES suggests traders are assigning near-zero likelihood to a GenOne victory, though this extreme reading warrants scrutiny given the match has not yet occurred and both teams remain capable of winning any given encounter.

NODWIN Gaming's Clutch Series operates within India's competitive Counter-Strike ecosystem, where roster stability and recent form carry outsized weight. GenOne and Atreides occupy different tiers of regional competitiveness; historical matchup data and recent LAN placements should anchor expectations. Teams in this tier frequently experience roster changes, coaching adjustments, or preparation gaps that shift match outcomes materially. A 0% probability typically reflects either strong historical dominance by one side or market illiquidity rather than genuine certainty.

The settlement window closes on 24 July at 23:30 UTC, creating a compressed timeframe. Traders should monitor official NODWIN announcements regarding match scheduling, any last-minute roster changes, or technical delays that could trigger the 50-50 tie resolution clause. Fixture cancellations or forfeits remain possible in regional tournaments with tighter operational margins than international circuits. Confirmation of both teams' final lineups and match start time confirmation closer to the date will provide material information for reassessing probabilities.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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