Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map Handicap: INOX (-1.5) vs Endless Journey (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: INOX Division (-3.5) vs Endless Journey (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: INOX Division (-6.5) vs Endless Journey (+6.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: INOX Division (-9.5) vs Endless Journey (+9.5) | 10% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map Handicap: EJ (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Endless Journey (-3.5) vs INOX Division (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Endless Journey (-6.5) vs INOX Division (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
Market context
INOX Division and Endless Journey are due to meet in a best-of-three Counter-Strike group-stage match at CCT Europe Series #5, with the market resolving to the named team that wins the series; if the game is not played, ends level, or is pushed beyond the seven-day limit without a winner, it settles 50-50 instead. In prediction markets, a **YES** share pays out if the specified outcome happens, while a **NO** share pays out if it does not, so the current 100% YES crowd view means traders are effectively treating an INOX Division win as a certainty.[1][2]
The main historical context is that this looks like a relatively close on-paper fixture rather than a routine mismatch. Available match pages show INOX Division and Endless Journey are ranked close together, with one listing INOX at world #73 and Endless Journey at #78, while another has INOX at #70 against Endless Journey at #143, which underlines that public data sources are not fully aligned on team strength.[1][8] Despite that, most community voting and bookmaker-style pricing lean towards INOX, with Strafe polling heavily in INOX’s favour and one pre-match line showing INOX around 1.50 versus Endless Journey at 2.47, although another preview notes Endless Journey’s better recent run of form.[2][11][8]
For traders, the key catalysts are whether the match is confirmed, whether the start time changes, and whether both line-ups remain intact, because a cancellation or a prolonged delay would alter settlement even if a favourite is obvious on paper.[5][1] The market page and match listings place the series on 22 July, but some feeds differ slightly on the scheduled time, so late schedule updates matter as much as team news in a market this short-dated.[1][2][6]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Endless Journey (BO… on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →