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Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs B8 (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs B8 (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Map 3 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Volume: $253K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs B8 (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Map 3 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map Handicap: NEMI (-2.5) vs B8 (+2.5)100%
Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nemiga (-6.5) vs B8 (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nemiga (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5100%
Map 4 Winner50%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)50%
Map 5 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)50%
O/U 3.5 Games0%
O/U 4.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: B8 (-2.5) vs Nemiga (+2.5)0%
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-6.5) vs Nemiga (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nemiga (-9.5) vs B8 (+9.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-6.5) vs Nemiga (+6.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-9.5) vs Nemiga (+9.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 39.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of counter-strike: nemiga vs b8 (bo5) - pgl masters bucharest: european qualifier playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand Final match between Nemiga and B8 in the PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 12, 20…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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