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Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs ODDIK (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs ODDIK (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $159K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs ODDIK (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map Handicap: PDAF (-1.5) vs ODDIK (+1.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: ODK (-1.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-6.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-3.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-6.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-3.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-9.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.50%

Market context

A best-of-three Counter-Strike 2 match between Patins da Ferrari and ODDIK took place on 19 July 2026 as Swiss round 3 of the CCT South America Series 4, with Patins da Ferrari winning 2–0 to advance. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the market’s outcome condition is met (here, Patins da Ferrari winning), while a NO share pays out if it is not; the current 100% YES price implies the market treats the result as already settled.

Historically, even heavy favourites in esports can be overturned when underdogs hold a perfect head-to-head record, as ODDIK did with a 4–0 lead over Patins da Ferrari before this match [5]. Bookmakers initially favoured Patins da Ferrari at 53% implied probability, while community models and Strafe users leaned toward ODDIK, with Strafe assigning them an 85.5% vote share [2][5]. Such splits between betting odds and crowd sentiment often precede volatile outcomes, yet the final 2–0 scoreline resolved the market decisively in Patins da Ferrari’s favour [1][4][6].

Traders should monitor official tournament confirmations, match completion status, and any delay or cancellation notices, as unresolved matches default to a 50–50 settlement [market description]. Since the settlement window ends on 20 July 2026 and the match has already concluded, the primary dependency is the platform’s verification of the official result rather than future events. No further announcements are expected to alter resolution, given the completed 2–0 score reported by multiple match trackers [1][4][6].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs ODDIK (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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