Dota 2: Team AION vs Dandelions (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Platform comparison

Market context

Team AION are due to play Dandelions in a best-of-three Dota 2 series in the EPL Masters Play-In Group B, with the match listed for 24 July at 07:00 UTC.[1][7][9][15] In prediction markets, a **YES** share pays out if Team AION win, while a **NO** share pays out if Dandelions win; if the match is not completed under the market rules, the market can resolve 50-50 instead.

The current crowd-implied probability of **0% YES** points to a strong expectation that Team AION will not win, although market prices can also reflect thin liquidity or stale trading rather than a clean consensus. Public match pages and community picks lean heavily towards Dandelions, with Strafe users backing Dandelions at 88.9% and 92.3% in separate listings, while GosuGamers shows Dandelions ahead in its pre-match ranking at world rank 42 versus Team AION at 49.[8][9] One recent live report also recorded Nemiga beating Team AION 2-0 in the same EPL Masters Play-In Group B, which may be affecting how traders frame Team AION’s form.[13]

The main catalysts are confirmation that the series starts on time, whether the official bracket and room remain unchanged, and any late roster or schedule updates before the settlement window closes at 13:00 UTC.[1][10][15] This matters because if the match is postponed by more than seven days, cancelled, or ends without a winner under the rules, the market resolves 50-50 instead of to either side.[15]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Dota 2: Team AION vs Dandelions (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.