Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Ends in Daytime | 100% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 100% |
| Game Handicap: GLYPH (-1.5) vs Enjoy (+1.5) | 100% |
| Ends in Daytime | 90% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 90% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2? | 90% |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 10% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 10% |
| Any Player Rampage | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2? | 10% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Game Handicap: Enjoy (-1.5) vs GLYPH (+1.5) | 0% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1? | 0% |
Market context
Enjoy and GLYPH are scheduled to play a best-of-three Dota 2 series in Games of the Future Group C, with the match listed for 11:00 UTC and the group stage format set up so every series is a Bo3.[1][15][17] In this market, a **YES** share pays out if Enjoy win the match; a **NO** share pays out if GLYPH win. If the series is not completed normally, or is postponed beyond the settlement rules, traders need to watch the market’s special resolution terms rather than the in-game scoreline alone.
The current **0% YES** price reflects a market that is effectively assigning no chance to an Enjoy win, which is only easy to read sensibly when there is strong evidence of either a dominant favourite or a stale market. Comparable listings around this fixture have shown GLYPH ahead on external prediction pages, while one analytics page also notes the teams had not met before under these tags, so there is little direct head-to-head history to anchor the price.[6][8][16] In a new Bo3 without prior meetings, traders often lean on tournament format, roster strength, and live availability rather than past clashes.
The main catalysts are confirmation that the series starts on time, any update to the published schedule, and whether the result is completed cleanly rather than via walkover or cancellation.[1][17] Games of the Future’s group stage runs across 31 July and 1 August, so other Group C fixtures and any bracket dependencies can affect timing, but not the basic win condition here.[17] If a delay, server issue, or administrative decision pushes the match outside the market’s seven-day window, settlement can shift away from a normal team win, which is material for anyone holding YES or NO shares.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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