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Dota 2: Team Lynx vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: Team Lynx vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Both Teams Destroy Barracks 100% Both Teams Beat Roshan 100% Game Handicap: PckCp (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5) 100% Ends in Daytime 50% Volume: $260K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Team Lynx vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Destroy Barracks100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Game Handicap: PckCp (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5)100%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Game Handicap: LYNX (-1.5) vs PuckChamp (+1.5)0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%

Market context

A Best-of-3 Dota 2 match between Team Lynx and PuckChamp in the EPL Masters Play-In Group A has already concluded, with PuckChamp winning 2–0 on 20 July 2026. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the specified outcome occurs—here, if Team Lynx win—while a NO share pays out if they do not. With the match finished and PuckChamp victorious, the market’s 0% YES probability correctly reflects that Team Lynx did not win.

Historically, markets that retain active trading after a match ends typically resolve swiftly once official results are confirmed. In this case, multiple sources confirm PuckChamp’s 2–0 victory, including Dotabuff-aligned data and live score trackers, making any reversal unlikely unless a formal forfeiture or cancellation is announced post-result [1][8][9]. Such outcomes are rare in established esports tournaments and usually trigger immediate settlement adjustments.

Traders should monitor official tournament channels for any late announcements regarding match validity, though current evidence indicates the event is complete. The resolution source is Dotabuff, which has already recorded the final score [4]. With no pending dependencies and the settlement window ending 20 July 2026, the market is effectively settled, and further price movement is improbable absent extraordinary administrative intervention.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Dota 2: Team Lynx vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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