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LoL: The Bandits vs ZennIT (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: The Bandits vs ZennIT (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Game Handicap: BAN (-1.5) vs ZennIT (+1.5) 100% Volume: $59K Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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LoL: The Bandits vs ZennIT (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Game Handicap: BAN (-1.5) vs ZennIT (+1.5)100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%

Market context

The Bandits will play ZennIT in a best-of-three League of Legends regular-season match in Road Of Legends, and a YES share on this market pays out if The Bandits win the series, while a NO share pays out if ZennIT win it. The market is already pricing that outcome as certain, with a 100% implied probability, which usually means traders expect the result to be decided in The Bandits’ favour or that the market is reflecting stale information rather than fresh uncertainty. [7][8]

Recent head-to-head data points in the same direction. The teams met in Road of Legends earlier in 2026, with The Bandits winning one spring series 2–0, while another January meeting went the other way after a close three-game set; across the broader head-to-head record shown by Sheep Esports, The Bandits have eight wins to ZennIT’s three in 11 games. That kind of prior record does not guarantee the next result, but it helps explain why a market can lean heavily towards one side before a series begins. [2][4][5][6]

For traders, the main catalysts are simple: confirmation that the match actually starts, whether the series remains a full BO3, and whether any schedule change pushes it beyond the seven-day settlement window, which would force a 50-50 outcome under the market rules. Broadcast listings and match pages from esports trackers indicate the fixture was slated for 23 July, but the important live check is the organiser’s official schedule and any last-minute cancellation, delay, or forfeiture notice. [1][7][8]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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