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LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 71% Game 1 Winner 65% Game 2 Winner 65% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 50% Volume: $100K Liquidity: $546K Closes: 6 Aug 2026
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LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
71% 29% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
71% 29% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner71%
Game 1 Winner65%
Game 2 Winner65%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games45%
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs Gen.G Global Academy (+1.5)45%

Market context

HANJIN BRION Challengers are due to play Gen.G Global Academy in a best-of-three League of Legends series in the LCK Challengers League’s Rounds 3-4 trial group, and a **YES** share would pay out if HANJIN BRION Challengers win the match while a **NO** share would pay out if Gen.G Global Academy win. The market also needs the match to actually produce a winner: if it is not played, ends level, or is pushed back more than seven days without a result, it will not resolve to either side.

For context, this is a matchup with a clear recent head-to-head edge for Gen.G Global Academy over the longer sample, but the latest completed meeting went the other way: HANJIN BRION Challengers won 2-0 on 5 May 2026. Across the 25 reported prior meetings, Gen.G Global Academy had 17 wins to HANJIN BRION Challengers’ 8, which helps explain why a mid-60s crowd price is plausible even when the most recent result favoured BRION. Public match-tracker data also shows Gen.G Global Academy entered the same fixture with a stronger aggregate record in the prior series of rounds, though both teams have shown volatility in short-form form lines.

The main catalysts for traders are simple: confirm the official start time, whether the series is actually played on schedule, and whether any roster, format, or scheduling changes are announced before the window closes. The listed start time has already moved around across esports databases, which is a useful reminder that market settlement follows the actual result, not a preview page; if there is any delay or cancellation, that matters more than pre-match favourites. Recent match listings and standings pages also suggest both teams have been active in the LCK Challengers calendar, so late administrative changes rather than competitive strength are the key event risk here.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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