LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage

Platform comparison

Market context

On 20 July 2026, DN SOOPers and BNK FEARX faced each other in a single-game League of Legends match during the KeSPA Cup Group Stage. The event, set for 2:45 AM ET, has already concluded with BNK FEARX winning 1–0, meaning the prediction market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" despite the current 100% YES crowd-implied probability favouring DN SOOPers [1][2].

In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the stated outcome occurs, while a NO share pays out if it does not. Here, the market’s 100% YES price suggests traders are certain DN SOOPers will win, yet historical data from Strafe Esports shows 88.8% of users predicted BNK FEARX to win, and the live result confirms BNK FEARX took the match [1]. This divergence mirrors past cases where crowd sentiment lagged behind actual outcomes, such as when BNK FEARX defeated Cloud9 1–0 in the 2025 KeSPA Cup Group Stage [4].

Traders should monitor official match result confirmations and any post-match forfeiture or disqualification notices, as these could alter settlement. The market resolves to 50–50 if the match is cancelled, tied, or delayed beyond seven days without a winner. With the match already played and BNK FEARX victorious, the catalyst is now the platform’s formal result validation, which will trigger the final resolution [2].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

We track LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.