LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage

Platform comparison

Market context

A single League of Legends match between DN SOOPers and KT Rolster in the KeSPA Cup Group Stage is the real-world event determining this market’s outcome. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the selected outcome occurs—here, if DN SOOPers win—while a NO share pays out if they do not. With the crowd-implied probability at 0% YES, the market currently treats a DN SOOPers victory as virtually impossible, effectively pricing in a KT Rolster win.

Historically, such extreme probabilities in esports often reflect a clear skill gap or recent form disparity. In this case, community voting platforms show KT Rolster as an overwhelming favourite, with 95.2% of users backing them to win the match, while only 4.8% supported DN SOOPers [1]. This aligns with the 0% YES pricing, suggesting the market is echoing broad consensus rather than spotting an outlier opportunity. Comparable cases in LoL prediction markets show that when crowd sentiment exceeds 90% for one side, the implied probability rarely shifts unless new information emerges.

Traders should monitor official KeSPA Cup announcements for any match cancellations, delays beyond seven days, or forfeitures, which would trigger a 50-50 settlement. Although the match was scheduled for 5:45AM ET on 20 July, the settlement window extends to 20 July 16:35 UTC, leaving little room for rescheduling [1]. No recent news suggests roster changes or team withdrawals, but any update from the league organiser or team channels could alter the probability. Until such catalysts appear, the 0% YES stance remains anchored in the pre-match consensus favouring KT Rolster.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3

Methodology

We track LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.