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LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 79% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 79% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 61% Match Winner 60% Volume: $64K Liquidity: $544K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
79% 21% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
79% 21% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon79%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon79%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?61%
Match Winner60%
Game 1 Winner59%
Game 2 Winner59%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?56%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
First Blood in Game 2?52%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?48%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?45%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon40%
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)35%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor14%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor13%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors7%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors7%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 79% probability to lol: bnk fearx vs dn soopers (bo3) - lck round 3-4 rise group. This market refers to the LoL match between BNK FEARX and DN SOOPers in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 15 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FE…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Trade LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 R… on Prediction Market UK

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