Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% |
Market context
ZYB Esport and Skillcamp Esport are due to meet in a one-game League of Legends match in the LFL Regular Season, and a **YES** share here pays out only if the market’s named side wins; **NO** pays out if the other team wins, while a no-result outcome can settle 50-50 under the market rules. The match was listed for 22 July at 17:00 UTC, and live score listings show it as a BO1 fixture, so there is no series buffer if a team has an off day.[1][2]
The current crowd-implied probability of 0% YES is best read as a sign that traders see the named side as a very unlikely winner, not as proof that the result is impossible. Comparable listing pages for this matchup show the opposite side drawing the stronger public preference, with one pre-match voting snapshot giving Skillcamp Esport 68.4% of user votes and ZYB 31.6%.[2] Historical match pages also show these teams have already met in 2026, with archived results splitting opinion around the pair and reinforcing that market prices in esports often move sharply on prior head-to-head results, not just season records.[3][8]
For traders, the main catalysts are straightforward: confirmation that the game starts on time, any roster or substitution news, and whether the match is completed normally before the settlement deadline. Esports fixtures can be affected by broadcast delays, server issues, or administrative rulings, and this market’s rules make the final outcome depend on whether a winner is officially recorded, or whether the game is cancelled, tied, or left unresolved beyond seven days.[1][9] If the live match page or tournament listings change status, that is the clearest signal to watch.[1][3]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade LoL: ZYB Esport vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regu… on Prediction Market UK
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