Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Bonn: Henri Squire vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Bonn: Henri Squire vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Bonn: Henri Squire vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Bonn: Henri Squire vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Bonn: Henri Squire vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 0% |
| Bonn: Henri Squire vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Bonn: Henri Squire vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Bonn: Henri Squire vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Bonn: Henri Squire vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Bonn: Henri Squire vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Bonn: Henri Squire vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Bonn: Henri Squire vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Bonn: Henri Squire vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Bonn: Henri Squire vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Bonn: Henri Squire vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Bonn: Henri Squire vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida. This market refers to the tennis match between Henri Squire and Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida in the Bonn, originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Henri Squir…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Bonn: Henri Squire vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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