Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 86% |
| Spread -1.5 | 80% |
| Spread -2.5 | 80% |
| Spread -3.5 | 76% |
| Spread -6.5 | 75% |
| Spread -4.5 | 74% |
| Spread -5.5 | 74% |
| Bowling Green O/U 23.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Bowling Green 2H O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 53% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ball State O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Ball State O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Ball State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Ball State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Ball State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Ball State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ball State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Ball State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Bowling Green: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Bowling Green: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Bowling Green: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Ball State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ball State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Bowling Green: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Bowling Green: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Bowling Green: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Ball State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| Spread -8.5 | 41% |
| O/U 43.5 | 27% |
| O/U 45.5 | 27% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 25% |
| Spread -16.5 | 24% |
| O/U 47.5 | 23% |
| Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| O/U 51.5 | 14% |
| O/U 53.5 | 12% |
| O/U 55.5 | 12% |
| Ball State vs. Bowling Green | 11% |
| Spread -1.5 | 9% |
| Spread -2.5 | 8% |
| O/U 57.5 | 7% |
| O/U 63.5 | 5% |
| Spread -13.5 | 4% |
| Spread -5.5 | 4% |
| Spread -4.5 | 4% |
| Spread -3.5 | 4% |
| Spread -14.5 | 3% |
| Spread -6.5 | 3% |
| Spread -7.5 | 2% |
| Spread -14.5 | 2% |
| Spread -17.5 | 1% |
| Spread -20.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Ball State 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Ball State 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Ball State 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Bowling Green 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Bowling Green 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Bowling Green 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, ball state vs. bowling green stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Ball State and Bowling Green, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ball State" if Ball State win the g…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $120K.
Methodology
This page reviews Ball State vs. Bowling Green across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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