Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
80% | 20% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
80% | 20% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 80% |
| Notre Dame vs. BYU | 79% |
| Notre Dame O/U 20.5 | 79% |
| Spread -0.5 | 78% |
| Spread -1.5 | 77% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 77% |
| Spread -2.5 | 75% |
| O/U 37.5 | 75% |
| 1H Moneyline | 74% |
| Spread -3.5 | 71% |
| O/U 39.5 | 70% |
| Notre Dame O/U 23.5 | 70% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 69% |
| Spread -4.5 | 68% |
| Spread -5.5 | 67% |
| O/U 41.5 | 67% |
| O/U 43.5 | 65% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 65% |
| Spread -6.5 | 64% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 63% |
| Spread -7.5 | 59% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 57% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 57% |
| Spread -8.5 | 56% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 56% |
| O/U 45.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 55% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 15.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 54% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 52% |
| Spread -10.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| BYU O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| BYU O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| BYU O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| BYU O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| BYU 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| BYU 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| BYU 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| BYU 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| BYU 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| BYU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| BYU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| BYU Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| BYU Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| BYU Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame vs. BYU: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame vs. BYU: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 49% |
| Notre Dame vs. BYU: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Notre Dame vs. BYU: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| Notre Dame vs. BYU: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| BYU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| BYU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 49% |
| Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 49% |
| Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 49% |
| BYU Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 49% |
| BYU Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 49% |
| BYU Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 49% |
| Notre Dame vs. BYU: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| BYU O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Notre Dame O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Notre Dame O/U 29.5 | 48% |
| BYU 1H O/U 16.5 | 48% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 48% |
| BYU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 46% |
| Spread -13.5 | 45% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 45% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| O/U 49.5 | 43% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 43% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 42% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 41% |
| Spread -14.5 | 40% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 39% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 39% |
| Spread -16.5 | 38% |
| O/U 51.5 | 38% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 36% |
| O/U 53.5 | 35% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 35% |
| Spread -17.5 | 34% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 33% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 30% |
| BYU O/U 23.5 | 30% |
| Spread -20.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| O/U 57.5 | 25% |
| O/U 55.5 | 24% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 23% |
| Spread -0.5 | 22% |
| Spread -1.5 | 21% |
| O/U 59.5 | 21% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 21% |
| Spread -2.5 | 20% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| Spread -3.5 | 16% |
| O/U 63.5 | 16% |
| Spread -4.5 | 14% |
| Spread -5.5 | 14% |
| O/U 61.5 | 14% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| Spread -8.5 | 12% |
| O/U 65.5 | 12% |
| Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| O/U 67.5 | 8% |
| O/U 69.5 | 8% |
| Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| O/U 71.5 | 6% |
| O/U 73.5 | 6% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| O/U 75.5 | 5% |
Market context
Market consensus: 80% chance of notre dame vs. byu. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Notre Dame and BYU, scheduled for October 17 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Notre Dame" if Notre Dame win the game. This m…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $217K.
Methodology
This page reviews Notre Dame vs. BYU across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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