Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Oklahoma Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 95% |
| O/U 23.5 | 92% |
| O/U 25.5 | 92% |
| O/U 27.5 | 89% |
| O/U 29.5 | 87% |
| Spread -0.5 | 83% |
| O/U 31.5 | 83% |
| O/U 33.5 | 78% |
| Spread -3.5 | 75% |
| Oklahoma Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 75% |
| Oklahoma Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 75% |
| Georgia Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 75% |
| Georgia Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 75% |
| Georgia Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 75% |
| Spread -5.5 | 71% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 71% |
| Spread -6.5 | 70% |
| O/U 35.5 | 70% |
| O/U 37.5 | 69% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 66% |
| O/U 39.5 | 64% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 63% |
| Spread -7.5 | 62% |
| Spread -8.5 | 61% |
| Spread -9.5 | 60% |
| O/U 41.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 57% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| Oklahoma 1H O/U 7.5 | 56% |
| Spread -10.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 55% |
| Spread -11.5 | 54% |
| O/U 43.5 | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 53% |
| Spread -12.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 52% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Oklahoma O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| Oklahoma O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| Oklahoma O/U 17.5 | 51% |
| Georgia O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| Georgia O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| Georgia O/U 31.5 | 51% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 1H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Georgia O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Oklahoma vs. Georgia: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma vs. Georgia: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma vs. Georgia: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma vs. Georgia: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma vs. Georgia: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma vs. Georgia: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 48% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 47% |
| Georgia 1H O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| O/U 45.5 | 46% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 44% |
| Spread -14.5 | 43% |
| Spread -15.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 42% |
| Spread -16.5 | 41% |
| O/U 47.5 | 41% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 40% |
| Spread -17.5 | 38% |
| Spread -18.5 | 35% |
| Spread -19.5 | 35% |
| O/U 49.5 | 35% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 35% |
| Spread -20.5 | 33% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| O/U 51.5 | 30% |
| O/U 55.5 | 29% |
| Spread -21.5 | 28% |
| Oklahoma O/U 20.5 | 28% |
| Georgia O/U 34.5 | 28% |
| O/U 53.5 | 27% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 27% |
| 1H Moneyline | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| Spread -24.5 | 20% |
| Oklahoma vs. Georgia | 18% |
| Spread -0.5 | 18% |
| Spread -27.5 | 18% |
| O/U 57.5 | 17% |
| Spread -22.5 | 16% |
| Spread -28.5 | 16% |
| O/U 59.5 | 15% |
| Spread -2.5 | 14% |
| O/U 61.5 | 14% |
| Spread -3.5 | 11% |
| Spread -30.5 | 11% |
| O/U 63.5 | 9% |
| Spread -6.5 | 8% |
Market context
The Oklahoma vs. Georgia prediction market currently prices this outcome at 95% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Oklahoma and Georgia, scheduled for September 26 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Oklahoma" if Oklahoma win the game. This market will resolve t…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $438K.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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