Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -0.5 | 92% |
| Spread -1.5 | 92% |
| Spread -2.5 | 92% |
| Spread -3.5 | 87% |
| O/U 35.5 | 87% |
| O/U 37.5 | 87% |
| Spread -4.5 | 86% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 23.5 | 86% |
| Spread -5.5 | 84% |
| Spread -6.5 | 83% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 83% |
| O/U 39.5 | 79% |
| Spread -7.5 | 78% |
| Spread -8.5 | 78% |
| Spread -9.5 | 77% |
| O/U 41.5 | 74% |
| Spread -10.5 | 73% |
| Spread -11.5 | 72% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 72% |
| O/U 43.5 | 71% |
| Spread -13.5 | 70% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 70% |
| Spread -12.5 | 70% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 70% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 69% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 67% |
| Spread -14.5 | 65% |
| Spread -16.5 | 63% |
| O/U 45.5 | 63% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 63% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 62% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 62% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 62% |
| Spread -15.5 | 61% |
| O/U 47.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 59% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| Spread -17.5 | 57% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 56% |
| Spread -18.5 | 55% |
| O/U 49.5 | 54% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 54% |
| Spread -19.5 | 54% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 35.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL): Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL): Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL): Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL): Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL): Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL): Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 49% |
| O/U 51.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 47% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 47% |
| Spread -21.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 45% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| Spread -22.5 | 44% |
| Spread -23.5 | 43% |
| O/U 53.5 | 42% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 39% |
| Spread -24.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 37% |
| O/U 55.5 | 36% |
| Spread -25.5 | 35% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 34% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 33% |
| Spread -26.5 | 33% |
| O/U 57.5 | 32% |
| Spread -27.5 | 32% |
| Spread -28.5 | 32% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 30% |
| O/U 59.5 | 27% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 27% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 20.5 | 26% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| Spread -30.5 | 25% |
| O/U 61.5 | 24% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 23% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 22% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| O/U 63.5 | 20% |
| Spread -33.5 | 20% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 23.5 | 19% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| O/U 65.5 | 13% |
| 1H Moneyline | 13% |
| O/U 67.5 | 12% |
| O/U 69.5 | 12% |
| Spread -34.5 | 12% |
| Spread -36.5 | 12% |
| Spread -37.5 | 11% |
| O/U 71.5 | 9% |
| O/U 73.5 | 9% |
| Spread -40.5 | 9% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL) | 8% |
| Spread -3.5 | 8% |
| Spread -2.5 | 8% |
| Spread -1.5 | 8% |
| Spread -0.5 | 8% |
| O/U 75.5 | 7% |
Market context
The Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL) prediction market currently prices this outcome at 92% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Pittsburgh and Miami (FL), scheduled for October 24 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh" if Pittsburgh win the game. This market will r…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $165K.
Methodology
We track Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL) across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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