Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Shanghai Haigang and Tianjin Jinmen Hu are scheduled to meet in the Chinese Super League on 23 May 2026, with kick-off at 7:00 AM ET. This market invites traders to purchase YES or NO shares based on whether additional betting markets will be offered for this fixture. A YES share pays out if supplementary markets materialise before the settlement deadline on 23 May at 11:00 AM ET; a NO share pays out if they do not. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders currently expect no additional markets to be listed.
Prediction markets on sports fixtures typically expand their offerings when fixtures attract sufficient trading volume or when operators identify demand for deeper market granularity. Chinese Super League matches have historically seen variable market depth depending on team prominence and international interest. Haigang and Jinmen Hu occupy mid-table positions in recent seasons, which may constrain the breadth of secondary markets compared to fixtures involving Shanghai SIPG or other marquee clubs. Past seasons show that smaller-profile domestic league matches often settle with core markets only—winner, total goals, handicap—rather than extended prop offerings.
The settlement window closes just four hours after kick-off, creating a tight operational constraint. Market expansion typically requires operator review and approval before the match begins. Recent fixture schedules and operator announcements regarding Chinese Super League coverage will signal whether this particular matchday receives expanded market treatment. Traders should monitor whether the operator has flagged enhanced markets for the broader matchday fixture list or whether Haigang–Jinmen Hu specifically has been highlighted for additional offerings.
Methodology
We track Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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