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Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round

Live odds for "Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Any Player Ultra Kill 53% Ends in Daytime 52% Ends in Daytime 52% Ends in Daytime 52% Volume: $51K Liquidity: $341K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
53% 47% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
53% 47% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Player Ultra Kill53%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks52%
Any Player Rampage51%
First Blood in Game 1?46%
First Blood in Game 2?46%
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)45%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?45%
O/U 2.5 Games44%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?42%
Both Teams Beat Roshan37%
Both Teams Beat Roshan37%
Both Teams Beat Roshan37%
Game 2 Winner34%
Game 1 Winner33%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks28%
Any Player Ultra Kill28%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks28%
Any Player Ultra Kill28%
Match Winner27%
Any Player Rampage26%
Any Player Rampage26%

Market context

Market consensus: 53% chance of dota 2: lgd gaming vs team yandex (bo3) - the international elimination round. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between LGD Gaming and Team Yandex in the The International Elimination Round, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This m…

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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