Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Game Handicap: LVLUP (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5) | 0% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
| Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
Zero Tenacity are due to meet Level UP in a best-of-three Dota 2 series in the EPL Masters Play-In Group B. In a prediction market, a **YES** share pays out if the named outcome happens and a **NO** share pays out if it does not; here, that means the market is effectively asking whether Zero Tenacity beat Level UP before the settlement rules force a fallback outcome.[1][3][9]
Recent comparable coverage points to a fairly even contest rather than a one-sided spot. One match listing has the teams close in bookmaker pricing, while Strafe’s preview leans towards Level UP on community votes; at the same time, Polymarket’s own event notes cite stronger recent form and a better head-to-head record for Zero Tenacity, including six wins to two over the past year and a 13-6 map edge.[2][3][5] That mix matters because a 0% crowd-implied probability usually reflects thin trading or an aggressive pricing outlier, not necessarily a settled consensus on the match itself.[2][5]
For traders, the main catalysts are simple: confirm the series actually starts, watch for schedule changes, and track any roster or format announcements from the tournament organiser. The market rules state that if the match is not played, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than seven days without a winner, it resolves 50-50; if the series begins but ends by forfeit, disqualification or walkover, the winning team is counted as the result.[1][9] Because the event is a BO3 in Group B, map-level momentum and any last-minute lineup update can shift the likely winner quickly.[3][7]
Methodology
This page reviews Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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