York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

York City and Crawley Town are meeting in the EFL Cup preliminary round, with the winner decided in a single game at the LNER Community Stadium in York. In a prediction market, a **YES** share pays out if the listed event happens by settlement, while a **NO** share pays if it does not; here, the market is framed around “more markets” tied to this specific fixture rather than the basic match result.

The current crowd-implied probability of **0% YES** suggests the market is either thinly traded, not yet updated, or assigning no immediate chance to the underlying condition being triggered. That should be read alongside the football context: York ended last season with a strong run in the National League, while Crawley finished in League Two and arrived with mixed recent results, including a 0-0 draw against Salford and a 3-3 draw at Accrington.[2][8][9] Historical meetings are limited and slightly advantage Crawley, with head-to-head records showing one Crawley win, three draws, and no York wins across recent encounters, which is useful mainly as a reminder that small samples can overstate certainty.[7][16]

Traders should watch team-news announcements, late injury or rotation updates, and any competition-specific changes such as postponement, kick-off alterations, or whether the tie goes ahead as scheduled. The match listing and live coverage pages confirm the fixture is set for 3 August, and the most important catalyst before settlement is whether the game starts and completes under the market’s rules.[1][2][13][20] If a “more markets” contract depends on a secondary condition, the key dependency is usually the official match event feed rather than pre-match form alone.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.