Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 99% |
| Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Match O/U 21.5 | 89% |
| Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Match O/U 23.5 | 75% |
| Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga | 51% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 1% |
| Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to estoril open: nuno borges vs roman andres burruchaga. This market refers to the tennis match between Nuno Borges and Roman Andres Burruchaga in the Estoril Open, originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borg…
Methodology
This page reviews Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga on Prediction Market UK
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