Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alan Magadan vs Garrett Johns | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alan Magadan vs Garrett Johns Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alan Magadan vs Garrett Johns Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alan Magadan vs Garrett Johns Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alan Magadan vs Garrett Johns Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alan Magadan vs Garrett Johns Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alan Magadan vs Garrett Johns Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alan Magadan vs Garrett Johns Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alan Magadan vs Garrett Johns Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alan Magadan vs Garrett Johns Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alan Magadan vs Garrett Johns Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alan Magadan vs Garrett Johns Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alan Magadan vs Garrett Johns Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alan Magadan vs Garrett Johns Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to los cabos open, qualification: alan magadan vs garrett johns. This market refers to the tennis match between Alan Magadan and Garrett Johns in the Los Cabos Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'A…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alan Magadan vs Garre… on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →