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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Prediction Market UK.

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 8.5 82% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 21.5 62% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima 61% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 Winner 56% Volume: $98K Liquidity: $382K Closes: 7 Aug 2026
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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
82% 18% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
82% 18% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 8.582%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 21.562%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima61%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 Winner56%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 9.556%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 22.555%
Completed Match50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 23.549%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 Winner47%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Total Sets: O/U 2.544%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Set Handicap +/-1.535%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 10.533%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 82% probability to mubadala citi dc open: alex de minaur vs brandon nakashima. This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Brandon Nakashima in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Al…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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