Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CR Flamengo - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

The Brasileirão Série A meeting between Chapecoense and Flamengo is the real-world event behind this market, with the fixture at Arena Condá scheduled for late evening local time and the contract settling shortly after kick-off on 23 July UTC. In prediction markets, a **YES** share pays out if the listed condition happens before settlement, while a **NO** share pays out if it does not; for a “More Markets” contract, that usually means the outcome depends on whatever additional listed sub-market is launched for the game rather than the match result itself.[1][9]

To read a current **0% YES** price, the main point is that the market is either not yet trading on the final sub-market or is assigning virtually no chance that the specified extra market will resolve in the YES direction. By comparison, outside prices for the same fixture generally framed Flamengo as the stronger side: Polymarket showed Flamengo as a clear favourite, with traders pricing the away win around 65.5%, while bookmaker-style prices also leaned towards Flamengo at about 1.49 decimal odds.[1][4] That matters because prediction-market probabilities often reflect not just team strength, but the exact wording of the contract.

Traders should watch for the precise additional market definition, official line-ups, late injury or rotation news, and any schedule changes affecting the fixture state. Flamengo’s participation in continental or domestic rotation cycles can matter because team selection may change materially when a club is balancing fixtures; that sort of late team-news dependency is often the biggest catalyst for a sports derivative before settlement.[1][9]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.