Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Any Other Score | 50% |
| SC Internacional 1 - 0 Clube do Remo | 31% |
| SC Internacional 3 - 3 Clube do Remo | 25% |
| SC Internacional 2 - 0 Clube do Remo | 24% |
| SC Internacional 1 - 1 Clube do Remo | 14% |
| SC Internacional 2 - 3 Clube do Remo | 14% |
| SC Internacional 2 - 1 Clube do Remo | 10% |
| SC Internacional 3 - 0 Clube do Remo | 9% |
| SC Internacional 3 - 1 Clube do Remo | 4% |
| SC Internacional 1 - 2 Clube do Remo | 3% |
| SC Internacional 2 - 2 Clube do Remo | 2% |
| SC Internacional 1 - 3 Clube do Remo | 1% |
| SC Internacional 3 - 2 Clube do Remo | 1% |
| SC Internacional 0 - 0 Clube do Remo | 0% |
| SC Internacional 0 - 1 Clube do Remo | 0% |
| SC Internacional 0 - 2 Clube do Remo | 0% |
| SC Internacional 0 - 3 Clube do Remo | 0% |
Market context
SC Internacional are due to host Clube do Remo at Estádio Beira-Rio in Porto Alegre, with the fixture listed for 17 August 2026 at 23:00 UTC, and the market will settle on the exact score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time only, not extra time or penalties[1][2]. In prediction-market terms, a YES share pays if the listed scoreline happens and a NO share pays if it does not, so an “Any Other Score” finish counts against every named score option.
The current 0% crowd-implied price suggests the market is treating this as an extremely unlikely exact result rather than a view on who wins the match outright. For a newcomer, that is the key distinction: exact-score contracts are much tighter than winner markets, and even a plausible home win can still leave a given scoreline with little or no implied support. Recent listings also place the sides close in the table and point to a low-margin contest, with Internacional and Remo both entering the round after mixed recent form[6][14].
The main catalysts to watch are simple: whether the match starts on time, whether there is any late scheduling change, and the confirmed line-ups shortly before kick-off. If the game were postponed, the contract would stay open until it is completed; if it is played as scheduled, the final score at full time decides the result. Live match listings have the fixture still on the board, which points to an active scheduled event rather than a cancelled one[1][2][5].
Methodology
This page reviews SC Internacional vs. Clube do Remo - Exact Score across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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