Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Appalachian State vs. East Carolina | 100% |
| Appalachian State O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| East Carolina O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State 1H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Jaquari Lewis: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Michael Allen: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Malachi Singleton: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Treyaun Webb: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Appalachian State O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State 1H O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Appalachian State 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| O/U 56.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Appalachian State O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 54.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| Spread -27.5 | 0% |
| Spread -31.5 | 0% |
| Spread -34.5 | 0% |
| O/U 51.5 | 0% |
| O/U 53.5 | 0% |
| O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| O/U 67.5 | 0% |
| O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| O/U 71.5 | 0% |
| O/U 73.5 | 0% |
| O/U 75.5 | 0% |
| 2H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 38.5 | 0% |
| Appalachian State O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina 1H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Appalachian State O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 37.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Appalachian State 2H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Appalachian State 2H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Appalachian State 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Ashton Gray: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jeremiah Melvin: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Mitch Griffis: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Sam Pickett III: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Brock Spalding: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Tyler Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Ismael Smith Flores: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| TJ Engleman: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jackson Grier: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Kanye Roberts: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Darrin Fugitt: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Dillon Lorick: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Nate Branch: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Alex Sanchez: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Luke Douglas: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Mason Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Sam Mbake: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Appalachian State 2H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Appalachian State 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Appalachian State 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| East Carolina O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Appalachian State O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| Appalachian State O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -22.5 | 0% |
| Spread -23.5 | 0% |
| Spread -26.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Appalachian State vs. East Carolina prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Appalachian State and East Carolina, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Appalachian State" if Appalachian State win th…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $79K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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