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Iowa State vs. Iowa

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Iowa State vs. Iowa" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Iowa State O/U 7.5 100% Iowa State 1H O/U 4.5 100% Iowa State 1H O/U 6.5 100% Iowa State 1H O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $134K Liquidity: $164K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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Iowa State vs. Iowa

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Iowa State O/U 7.5100%
Iowa State 1H O/U 4.5100%
Iowa State 1H O/U 6.5100%
Iowa State 1H O/U 8.5100%
1H O/U 14.5100%
1H O/U 17.5100%
2Q O/U 6.5100%
2Q O/U 9.5100%
2Q O/U 12.5100%
2Q O/U 15.5100%
2Q O/U 18.5100%
O/U 21.598%
O/U 27.595%
Iowa State O/U 10.591%
3Q O/U 1.591%
O/U 23.571%
O/U 25.571%
O/U 33.571%
O/U 29.570%
O/U 31.569%
O/U 35.564%
Spread -1.560%
O/U 37.556%
O/U 39.553%
O/U 40.552%
Spread -2.552%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -31.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Iowa State O/U 1.550%
Iowa O/U 3.550%
Kamari Moulton: Anytime Touchdown50%
DJ Vonnahme: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tony Diaz: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jaylen Raynor: Anytime Touchdown50%
Xavier Williams: Anytime Touchdown50%
Reece Vander Zee: Anytime Touchdown50%
Addison Ostrenga: Anytime Touchdown50%
Nathan McNeil: Anytime Touchdown50%
Aiden Flora: Anytime Touchdown50%
Cameron Pettaway: Anytime Touchdown50%
Evan James: Anytime Touchdown50%
Cody Jackson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Omari Hayes: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tyler Fortenberry: Anytime Touchdown50%
1H Moneyline50%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -6.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
1Q Moneyline50%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Iowa O/U 21.550%
Iowa O/U 24.550%
Iowa O/U 27.550%
Iowa O/U 30.550%
Iowa O/U 33.550%
Iowa State O/U 13.550%
Iowa State O/U 16.550%
Iowa State O/U 19.550%
2H Spread -8.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
L.J. Phillips Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Hank Brown: Anytime Touchdown50%
Evan Boyd: Anytime Touchdown50%
Dayton Howard: Anytime Touchdown50%
Easton Miller: Anytime Touchdown50%
Dominic Overby: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jarriett Buie: Anytime Touchdown50%
Carter Pabst: Anytime Touchdown50%
Vince Benetti: Anytime Touchdown50%
Iowa 2H O/U 11.550%
Iowa 2H O/U 13.550%
Iowa 2H O/U 15.550%
Iowa State 2H O/U 4.550%
Iowa State 2H O/U 6.550%
Iowa State 2H O/U 8.550%
Iowa 2H O/U 10.550%
Iowa 2H O/U 12.550%
Iowa 2H O/U 14.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -18.550%
Spread -19.550%
Spread -22.550%
Spread -28.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -9.550%
2H O/U 14.550%
2H O/U 17.550%
2H O/U 20.550%
2H O/U 23.550%
2H O/U 26.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q O/U 4.550%
3Q O/U 7.550%
3Q O/U 10.550%
3Q O/U 13.550%
4Q Spread -7.550%
4Q O/U 4.550%
4Q O/U 7.550%
4Q O/U 10.550%
4Q O/U 13.550%
4Q O/U 16.550%
Spread -3.549%
Spread -2.543%
O/U 42.540%
O/U 41.539%
Spread -4.538%
Iowa State vs. Iowa37%
Spread -5.536%
Spread -8.536%
O/U 47.536%
O/U 49.536%
O/U 53.535%
O/U 55.535%
Spread -30.535%
Spread -12.534%
O/U 59.534%
O/U 61.534%
Spread -15.533%
Spread -6.532%
Spread -21.527%
Spread -34.525%
Spread -7.523%
O/U 43.523%
O/U 45.523%
Spread -3.522%
Spread -9.521%
O/U 51.520%
Spread -10.518%
Spread -6.513%
Spread: Iowa (-11.5)12%
Spread -13.510%
Spread -14.58%
Spread -16.58%
Spread -17.58%
Spread -20.55%
Spread -24.55%
Spread -27.55%
O/U 57.55%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
Iowa 1H O/U 12.50%
Iowa 1H O/U 14.50%
Iowa 1H O/U 16.50%
Iowa 1H O/U 11.50%
Iowa 1H O/U 13.50%
Iowa 1H O/U 15.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -11.50%
1H O/U 20.50%
1H O/U 23.50%
1H O/U 26.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q O/U 1.50%
1Q O/U 4.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
2Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of iowa state vs. iowa. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Iowa State and Iowa, scheduled for September 12 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Iowa State" if Iowa State win the game. Thi…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Iowa State O/U 7.5 at 100% for "Iowa State vs. Iowa".

Iowa State O/U 7.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $134K.

Methodology

This page reviews Iowa State vs. Iowa across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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Related Topics

Sports