Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Mississippi State O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State vs. Minnesota | 99% |
| Spread -10.5 | 95% |
| O/U 45.5 | 92% |
| O/U 47.5 | 91% |
| O/U 49.5 | 91% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| Mississippi State O/U 33.5 | 91% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 91% |
| Spread -6.5 | 90% |
| Spread -2.5 | 87% |
| Spread -16.5 | 87% |
| O/U 53.5 | 84% |
| O/U 57.5 | 82% |
| Spread -3.5 | 69% |
| Spread -5.5 | 69% |
| Spread -1.5 | 64% |
| Spread -4.5 | 64% |
| O/U 55.5 | 62% |
| O/U 54.5 | 56% |
| Spread -9.5 | 55% |
| Spread -7.5 | 54% |
| O/U 51.5 | 53% |
| Spread -20.5 | 52% |
| Mississippi State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Darius Taylor: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Fluff Bothwell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Anthony Evans III: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kamario Taylor: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| TJ Thomas Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Javon Tracy: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Zion Ragins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Sanfrisco Magee: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Drake Lindsey: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Noah Jennings: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Sam West: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Pierce Walsh: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Kolin Wilson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Xavier Gayten: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Niko Castillo: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Joeseph Skipworth: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Marquis Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Hayden Moore: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kaden Helms: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ayden Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Zion Steptoe: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Gracen Harris: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mississippi State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| Spread -11.5 | 49% |
| Spread -17.5 | 48% |
| Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| O/U 69.5 | 47% |
| Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 47% |
| Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| Spread -27.5 | 37% |
| Spread -31.5 | 35% |
| Spread -34.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 10% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 10% |
| Minnesota 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
Market context
Mississippi State vs. Minnesota — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Mississippi State and Minnesota, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mississippi State" if Mississippi State win the gam…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $101K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
Trade Mississippi State vs. Minnesota on Prediction Market UK
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