CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

Villarreal C and Levante UD meet in a club friendly, and this market pays out on the **exact final score** after normal time, including stoppage time, or extra time if it is actually played. In prediction-market terms, a **YES** share wins only if the listed scoreline happens; a **NO** share wins if it does not, including any other score or a postponed match that has not been completed before the market closes.

An 8% crowd-implied probability suggests traders see one specific score as possible, but still noticeably less likely than the broader set of all other outcomes. That is typical for exact-score markets, which are usually harder to price than simple win-or-draw questions because many different scorelines can cash as “Any Other Score”. Recent head-to-head data points to a narrow Villarreal edge overall, with Villarreal beating Levante 1-0 in February 2026 and 5-1 in May 2026, while the pair also played a 3-1 friendly in 2022 and a 0-0 friendly in 2021.

For traders, the main catalysts are simple but important: confirmation that the match still goes ahead, any change to kick-off time, and team news close to start time. Friendly fixtures are more exposed than league matches to late squad rotation, youth call-ups, and withdrawals, so line-ups can matter more than long-run head-to-head records. Live score services currently list the fixture and recent meetings, but the market’s settlement depends on the official final result, so any postponement or rescheduling would keep it open until the game is finished.

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Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.