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Jaguares de Córdoba FC vs. Atlético Nacional - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Jaguares de Córdoba FC vs. Atlético Nacional - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Atlético Nacional (-1.5) 100% Atlético Nacional (-2.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Volume: $140K Liquidity: $462K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Jaguares de Córdoba FC vs. Atlético Nacional - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Atlético Nacional (-1.5)100%
Atlético Nacional (-2.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 2.5100%
Atlético Nacional O/U 0.5100%
Atlético Nacional O/U 1.5100%
Atlético Nacional O/U 2.5100%
Atlético Nacional 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Atlético Nacional 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Jaguares de Córdoba FC (-1.5)0%
Jaguares de Córdoba FC (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
Jaguares de Córdoba FC O/U 0.50%
Jaguares de Córdoba FC O/U 1.50%
Jaguares de Córdoba FC O/U 2.50%
Jaguares de Córdoba FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Jaguares de Córdoba FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 0.50%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Jaguares de Córdoba FC 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Jaguares de Córdoba FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Atlético Nacional 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Atlético Nacional 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Jaguares de Córdoba and Atlético Nacional meet in Colombia’s Primera A, with the market on “more markets” meaning the contract resolves YES if a defined side-bet or auxiliary condition is offered and settled for this fixture by the deadline. In prediction-market terms, a YES share pays out if the event happens; a NO share pays out if it does not, so the current 0% YES price implies the crowd is not assigning any meaningful chance to the condition being met under the market’s wording.

Historical context points towards Atlético Nacional being the stronger side in this pairing. Across recent head-to-head records, Nacional has dominated the matchup, with one source listing 18 wins from 23 meetings and only 2 Jaguares victories, while another club history page says Nacional won all seven matches after Jaguares reached the top flight[2][11][7]. Recent results also lean Nacional’s way: they beat Jaguares 2-1 in April 2026, and the recent meeting log shows several one-sided wins in league and cup play[1][5][8].

For traders, the key catalysts are the matchday line-ups, any late injury or rotation news, and whether the platform’s “more markets” language reflects an actual additional market being created before the settlement window closes. Flashscore lists the fixture for 2 August 2026, and Nacional’s recent schedule shows they were still active in Copa Colombia shortly before this game, so squad rotation is a live dependency[3][8]. Because this contract is about market availability rather than the match result itself, any change in the sportsbook-style market feed, offer timing, or settlement wording matters more than the scoreline alone.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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