Global Super League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs San Francisco Unicorns

Platform comparison

Market context

The match is the Global Super League fixture between Guyana Amazon Warriors and San Francisco Unicorns, and a **YES** share pays out **$1** if the listed outcome resolves true, while a **NO** share pays out **$1** if it does not. The market is currently pricing that outcome at **100% YES**, which means traders are treating the result as fully settled rather than still uncertain.[12]

For a newcomer, that is a very different signal from the sort of pre-match pricing you normally see before a cricket game. Comparable previews ahead of this fixture had the teams framed as fairly even, with one source putting San Francisco slightly ahead at **52%** and others calling Guyana the favourite on home turf, which shows how quickly pre-match views can diverge before a result is officially recorded.[3][5][6] Other live listings show the match already in progress, with scoreboards reporting Guyana chasing in the second innings, so the crowd’s 100% reading is consistent with the game having moved beyond the uncertainty that drives an active market.[2][9][10]

For traders, the main things to watch are the official match result, the exact cut-off for the settlement window, and any scorecard updates that could still change the recorded winner. This market resolves from the finalised result on ESPNcricinfo, and cricket markets can also turn on on-field rulings such as DLS, forfeits, walkovers, or a tie-break such as a Super Over, all of which are treated as ordinary wins under the rules here. The fixture was scheduled for **23 July 2026** at Providence Stadium, with pre-match reports noting a night start and a likely televised or streamed event, so once the scoreline is final there is usually little room left for interpretation.[1][4][8]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Global Super League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs San Francisco Unicorns across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.