The Hundred: MI London vs Manchester Super Giants

Platform comparison

Market context

MI London and Manchester Super Giants are scheduled to play a The Hundred match, and this market settles on the final result recorded by ESPNcricinfo. In prediction-market terms, a **YES** share pays out if the match is officially won by the named side in the market description, while a **NO** share pays out if that result does not happen; because the crowd-implied probability is already **100% YES**, the market is pricing in an outcome that is effectively treated as certain.

For newcomers, the best way to read that price is as a statement about how much of the “chance” has already been absorbed by the market, not as proof that the game is over. Recent comparable fixtures between these sides have generally gone the way of the in-form team: Manchester Super Giants beat MI London by six wickets in the women’s competition on 2 August, and they also beat London Spirit in the men’s competition on 23 July, showing that current squad form and match-day conditions have mattered in The Hundred this season.[1][6][7] Past men’s meetings between MI London and Manchester Super Giants have also produced straightforward results rather than washouts or abandoned finishes, which is relevant because this market counts ordinary wins, including on-field rulings such as DLS, DRS, forfeits, or walkovers.[4]

A trader watching this market would focus on the verified match outcome, the official scorecard, and any late changes to the playing conditions, because those are what determine settlement here. The fixture is listed for Kennington Oval with a 6:00 pm local start, and live match listings show the toss and venue details, which matters in cricket because weather interruptions, a revised target under DLS, or a no-result/tie scenario can change how the market resolves.[2][3][10] In practical terms, the key catalyst is not pre-match speculation but the published final result from ESPNcricinfo once the game is complete.[4]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track The Hundred: MI London vs Manchester Super Giants across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.