Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs London Spirit | 100% |
| The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs London Spirit - Who wins the toss? | 76% |
| The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs London Spirit - Completed match? | 50% |
Market context
Trent Rockets and London Spirit are due to meet in The Hundred, and this market pays out on the match result as recorded by ESPNcricinfo, including any on-field winner decided by DLS, penalties, a walkover or a tiebreak such as a Super Over. For a newcomer, a **YES** share wins if the named outcome happens, while a **NO** share wins if it does not; with the crowd pricing **100% YES**, the market is effectively treating a Rockets win as certain, so the practical question is whether anything can still disrupt that assumption.
Recent meetings show the fixture has not been one-sided in every season. Trent Rockets beat London Spirit by 22 runs in 2024 at Trent Bridge, but London Spirit returned the favour in the 2025 men’s match, winning by 21 runs, and the women’s side also saw a Spirit win over the Rockets in 2026. Earlier BBC and ESPN reports also note a low-scoring Rockets win over Spirit, which underlines that this is a live rivalry rather than a guaranteed result. [1][2][4][5]
For traders, the main catalysts are the official team sheets, any late injury or selection news, and whether the match is completed without interruption, because The Hundred can still produce a result through revised targets or a Super Over if weather or a tie intervenes. The settlement window runs well after the scheduled start, so the key dependency is the final published scorecard rather than pre-match expectations; if the fixture is abandoned without a winner, that would matter for resolution under the market rules. ESPNcricinfo’s live scorecard and report are the decisive references for the final outcome. [2][6][9]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $332K.
Methodology
We track The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs London Spirit across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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