The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leeds

Platform comparison

Market context

The match is **Trent Rockets v Sunrisers Leeds** in The Hundred, and a YES share pays if the fixture is officially recorded as a Rockets win under ESPNcricinfo’s final result. In prediction markets, a YES share means the event happens as specified; a NO share means it does not, so this market is effectively a binary view on whether Trent Rockets are declared winners rather than on margin of victory or scoreline.

A 100% crowd-implied probability usually signals either a completed result has already been reflected in the market or that the contract is effectively being treated as settled. That matters because Trent Rockets and Sunrisers Leeds have recent head-to-head evidence of close finishes, including a five-run Rockets win in the women’s competition and a five-wicket Rockets win in a men’s meeting in 2025. More broadly, The Hundred often produces tight results, so a near-certain price should be read against the actual published match outcome rather than pre-match strength alone.[1][2][13]

For traders, the key catalyst is the official scorecard on ESPNcricinfo, since that is the settlement source named in the market rules. The live fixture information places the match at Trent Bridge, Nottingham, with a 13:30 GMT start, and any official result — including one decided by DLS, penalties, a Super Over, or a walkover — counts for settlement.[3][12] If the match had been delayed, abandoned, or otherwise left without an official result, that would have been the main risk to watch; in this case, the critical check is simply whether ESPNcricinfo’s final classification matches a Trent Rockets win.[6]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leeds across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.