The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Manchester Super Giants

Platform comparison

Market context

MI London Women are playing Manchester Super Giants Women in The Hundred, with the result to be settled by the official match outcome published by ESPNcricinfo. In prediction-market terms, a **YES** share pays out if MI London win and a **NO** share pays out if they do not; for a newcomer, the current **0% YES** price means the market is effectively assigning no chance to an MI London victory at the moment.

That pricing fits the recent form. Manchester Super Giants have started strongly in The Hundred Women 2026, including wins over London Spirit and Sunrisers Leeds, while MI London have been at the wrong end of the table and were listed on ESPN’s standings as having no wins from their early fixtures. In the earlier meeting between these sides, Manchester Super Giants beat MI London by six wickets after dismissing them for 92, which gives traders a useful comparable case for judging the matchup rather than relying only on the headline price.[6][10][13][16]

For this market, the main catalysts are the live match state and any official interruption or completion notice. The fixture was scheduled at the Kia Oval, and Manchester Super Giants won the toss and chose to field, so early wickets, a modest first innings total, or a chase completed without drama all matter directly to resolution.[1][5][8] Because the market resolves from the final published scorecard, any DLS adjustment, over-rate penalty, forfeit, walkover, or on-field tiebreak would still count as an ordinary win under the rules, so traders should watch the official score and result rather than informal commentary.[1][2]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Manchester Super Giants across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.