The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs London Spirit

Platform comparison

Market context

Trent Rockets Women are playing London Spirit Women in The Hundred, a 100-ball cricket match where the result is decided on the day and a share settles **YES** if Trent Rockets win and **NO** if they do not. For a newcomer to prediction markets, the current crowd-implied probability of **0% YES** means the market is pricing in no chance that Trent Rockets will be the named winner at settlement, which is unusual for a live sporting event and usually reflects that the result has already been made clear, rather than a normal pre-match view.

Recent comparable meetings show Trent Rockets and London Spirit can produce decisive outcomes, with Trent Rockets winning by 18 runs in 2021, by 31 runs in one BBC-recorded meeting, and by 33 runs in another scorecarded match; London Spirit also won the toss in this 2026 fixture and chose to field first.[4][3][2][1] For traders, that history matters less than the actual published result, because this market settles from the final match outcome as listed by ESPNcricinfo, and on-field tie-breaks or rulings count in the same way as an ordinary win.[1]

The main catalysts to watch are the live score, the final scorecard, and any official match abandonment or reserve-day style wrinkle, although The Hundred normally resolves on the field the same day.[1] In practice, the key dependency is whether ESPNcricinfo records Trent Rockets as the winner at full time, after any DLS, forfeit, or other competition-approved decision, because that is what determines settlement here.[1]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs London Spirit across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.