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Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Prediction Market UK.

Match Winner 66% Map 2 Winner 64% Map 1 Winner 60% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $90K Liquidity: $435K Closes: 19 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
66% 34% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
66% 34% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner66%
Map 2 Winner64%
Map 1 Winner60%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5)47%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5)46%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5)39%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)38%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.537%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 66% probability to counter-strike: fut esports vs magic (bo3) - esports world cup playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between FUT Esports and magic in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will res…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports… on Prediction Market UK

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