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Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Match Winner 66% Map 2 Winner 64% Map 1 Winner 62% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $104K Liquidity: $82K Closes: 5 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
66% 34% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
66% 34% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner66%
Map 2 Winner64%
Map 1 Winner62%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs fnatic (+3.5)46%
O/U 2.5 Games44%
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs fnatic (+1.5)38%

Market context

Market consensus: 66% chance of counter-strike: liquid vs fnatic (bo3) - stake pulse beat i playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between Liquid and fnatic in the Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 5 at 9:00AM ET. This market…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse… on Prediction Market UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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