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Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Metizport (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 12

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Metizport (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 12" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Prediction Market UK.

Match Winner 74% Map 2 Winner 70% Map 1 Winner 67% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs Metizport (+3.5) 50% Volume: $130K Liquidity: $225K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Metizport (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 12

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
74% 26% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
74% 26% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner74%
Map 2 Winner70%
Map 1 Winner67%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs Metizport (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs Metizport (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Metizport (+1.5)48%
O/U 2.5 Games42%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs Metizport (+3.5)27%

Market context

Market consensus: 74% chance of counter-strike: liquid vs metizport (bo3) - esports world cup open qualifier group 12. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between Liquid and Metizport in the Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 12, initially scheduled for August 8 at 5:00AM ET.…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Metizport (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 12 across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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