Barcelona SC vs. CSD Macara

Platform comparison

Market context

Barcelona SC face CSD Macará in a LigaPro Primera A match scheduled for Saturday, 8 August 2026, and a **YES** share in this market pays out if that fixture is played and matches the event description before the settlement window closes. A **NO** share pays out if the game does not happen as specified, or if the market’s conditions are otherwise not met by settlement.

The current crowd-implied probability of **0% YES** is far below what the historical head-to-head suggests. Across publicly available match records, Barcelona SC have generally had the better of this pairing, with one source showing 19 Barcelona wins, 17 draws and 12 Macará wins in 48 meetings, while another lists 13 Barcelona wins, 10 Macará wins and 10 draws in 33 reported matches[2][1]. Recent meetings have also tilted Barcelona’s way: they won 2-1 in September 2024 and 1-0 in April 2025, while some earlier clashes at Macará’s ground were tighter and produced draws[5][3].

For traders, the main catalysts are straightforward: final confirmation that the fixture remains on the league schedule, any rescheduling, and team news close to kick-off, including injuries, suspensions, or rotation if either side is juggling other commitments. Barcelona’s recent form in match previews has been mixed rather than dominant, so line-up announcements can matter more than headline club names alone[17][9]. Because this market settles on the match actually taking place by the deadline, schedule changes or administrative issues are more relevant here than long-run team strength.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Barcelona SC vs. CSD Macara across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

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