LDU Quito vs. Delfin SC - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

LDU Quito are due to face Delfín SC in a LigaPro Primera A match, and a **YES** share on this “More Markets” contract pays out if the specific additional market condition linked to that game is met by the settlement deadline. With the crowd-implied probability at **0%**, the market is currently pricing the outcome as effectively not expected, so even a modest change in the underlying match setup can matter.

Historical meeting data points to a fairly balanced rivalry, which is useful context when reading a zero-per-cent price. Across recent head-to-head records, the sides have split wins and draws fairly evenly, with one source showing LDU Quito 11 wins, Delfín 10, and 8 draws in 29 meetings, while another lists 11 wins each and 8 draws in 30 matches[1][10]. Recent results have also swung sharply: FBref lists LDU winning 4–0 away in July 2025 and 3–0 at home in March 2025, showing that prior meetings have not always been tight[18].

For traders, the main catalysts are line-ups, late injury or suspension news, and any schedule or venue changes before kick-off, because “more markets” contracts often depend on in-match conditions rather than the match result alone. Live match pages confirm the fixture timing for 3 August 2026, while recent statistical snapshots suggest LDU have had the stronger attacking profile over the longer term, with higher possession and more shots per game in some datasets[15][7]. Any confirmed team news, weather disruption, or a postponed start would be the sort of update that can quickly change how secondary market conditions are priced.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track LDU Quito vs. Delfin SC - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.