Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Hungary (-1.5) | 100% Hungary | 0% Kazakhstan |
| Kazakhstan (-1.5) | 0% Kazakhstan | 100% Hungary |
| Hungary (-2.5) | 0% Hungary | 100% Kazakhstan |
| Kazakhstan (-2.5) | 0% Kazakhstan | 100% Hungary |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
Hungary and Kazakhstan are scheduled to meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 9 June 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. In prediction markets, a YES share represents a bet that additional markets will be created for this fixture; a NO share bets they won't. The current probability sitting at 100% YES reflects strong confidence among traders that supplementary betting options will materialise around this match.
International Friendlies typically attract secondary market creation when they involve nations with established betting audiences or when the fixture falls within a major tournament window. Hungary has featured prominently in European qualifying campaigns and maintains a domestic following that supports liquidity in related markets. Kazakhstan, whilst less prominent in Western betting circles, competes regularly in FIFA competitions. Historical precedent suggests that UEFA-affiliated friendlies scheduled during June—often a staging ground for warm-up matches before major tournaments—generate sufficient trader interest to warrant multiple market variants covering goals, corners, and other match outcomes.
Traders monitoring this market should track official UEFA or national federation announcements regarding squad confirmations and venue details, typically released 7–10 days before fixture dates. Fixture postponements or cancellations, though rare for scheduled friendlies, would immediately alter settlement conditions. The settlement window closes on 9 June at 17:00 UTC, allowing only the match day itself for final market creation decisions. Monitoring betting exchange activity and major sportsbook offerings in the days preceding the match will signal whether institutional operators are preparing additional markets, which would validate the current high probability.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $692K.
Methodology
This page reviews Hungary vs. Kazakhstan - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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